Sunday Stats

Delinquent Loans still above 14% nationally

by Chris Butterworth on August 26, 2010

in Market Analysis & Stats

I thought this chart was interesting:

delinquent mortgage loans

chart credit to CalculatedRiskBlog.com

  • Good news – we’ve been moving sideways for about a year now, maybe a bit longer.
  • Bad news – 14%..!  That’s approximately 1 out of every 7 mortgage loans in the US in some state of delinquency.
  • Good news – we saw the worst of the unemployment in 2009, as UE spiked from 5% to 10%, and yet we didn’t see a corresponding spike in distressed mortgage loans.  (… yet?)
  • Bad news – “real unemployment” is much higher than 10%, and isn’t showing signs of decreasing anytime soon.

Are we is a state of consistency right now, or will we see another upward trend over the next year as a result of the consistent high unemployment economic environment we’re in?

That’s the billion dollar question…

Your wishes he knew the answers Realtor,

Chris Butterworth


chris

Chris Butterworth spends more time analyzing statistics and reading economic reports than is healthy. He's also a husband, father, writer, and amateur photographer. In his spare time he trained for and competed in his first triathlon.

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Maricopa County Sales Charts – July 2010

by Chris Butterworth on August 10, 2010

in Market Analysis & Stats

Here’s a look at the recent trends county-wide.  I’m pulling a rolling 13-month history so we can see the last year’s trends plus a comparison of this month to the same month last year.

Specific Zip Code reports are now available!  If you’d like to see how the sales activity in your zip code compares with the county as a whole, just send me an email with your name, email address, and zip code.  (to chrisb@thephoenixagents.com)  I’ll add you to our zip code mailing list, and you’ll receive your zip code report via email each month.

and now, on to the reports.  (click each chart to embiggen)

Number of Homes Sold by Month

number sold

.

Avg Sold Price

avg sold price

.

Avg Price per Square Foot

price per sqft

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Avg Number of Days on Market

days on market

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** The data for all these charts was pulled from the Arizona Regional Multiple Listing Service, and is thought to be accurate but is not guaranteed.  Please do not make any life-changing decisions based solely on the information contained herein.

Questions, comments, suggestions?  Please give us a call/email anytime – we’d love to hear from you!

Your keeping an eye on the trends Realtor,

Chris Butterworth


chris

Chris Butterworth spends more time analyzing statistics and reading economic reports than is healthy. He's also a husband, father, writer, and amateur photographer. In his spare time he trained for and competed in his first triathlon.

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Distressed Sales by Month – July 2010

by Chris Butterworth August 9, 2010 Month End Stats

These charts offer a complimentary view to the New Distressed Listings charts I published yesterday Friday.  The overall number of sales was down a bit across all categories, however, short sales continued to gain a larger percentage of the overall market. I’ve pulled all the homes sold since 1/1/2009 for Single Family Residences in Maricopa [...]

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New Distressed Listings by Month – July 2010

by Chris Butterworth August 6, 2010 Market Analysis & Stats

Another month with very little change.  Good news if you’re a buyer without a house to sell, especially if you can take advantage of the current interest rates.  Also good news if you consider we’re now one month closer to whenever the eventual recovery might occur.  Bad news if you were looking for a positive [...]

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Just how bad is the new home building bust?

by Chris Butterworth July 28, 2010 Market Analysis & Stats

Friend & colleague John Wake published this chart yesterday.  We all know it’s bad, but this chart makes the point very clear.. click here to read the original article at Wall Street Journal dot com. To claim “The Great Recession – worst economic times since the Great Depression” a couple of years ago sounded like [...]

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New Distressed Listings by Month – June 2010

by Chris Butterworth July 9, 2010 Market Analysis & Stats

I’ve been saying since I started pulling this data 18 months ago that one day we’re going see a change in the trends, and that day will be an important day for our local real estate market.  Unfortunately, that day isn’t today. More of the same today, with the forecast for more of the same [...]

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Maricopa County Sales Charts – June 2010

by Chris Butterworth July 8, 2010 Market Analysis & Stats

Here’s a look at the recent trends county-wide.  I’m pulling a rolling 13-month history so we can see the last year’s trends plus a comparison of this month to the same month last year. Specific Zip Code reports are now available!  If you’d like to see how the sales activity in your zip code compares [...]

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Huge gap between new home, existing home sales

by Chris Butterworth June 24, 2010 Market Analysis & Stats

I found an interesting post this morning via the Calculated Risk blog – take a look at the changing ratio of new home sales (red) to existing home sales (blue) in the national market. Existing home sales are great since they generally enable the selling family to move on with their life, usually to buy [...]

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New Distressed Listings by Month – May 2010 – Updated Methodology!

by Chris Butterworth June 10, 2010 Market Analysis & Stats

I’ve been playing with MLS data quite a bit lately, and I found an error in my Monthly Distressed Listings methodology.  gasp!  Turns out that many of the Short Sale listings are also tagged as Pre Foreclosure listings, which means my counts of New Distressed Listings are exaggerated a bit. Good news is it shouldn’t [...]

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New Distressed Listings by Month – May, 2010

by Chris Butterworth June 7, 2010 Market Analysis & Stats

Nothing new to say here as we watch the trends continue.  5,160 new distressed listings last month, which accounted for a little over 60% of all new listings. I’m including Bank-Owned, Short-Sale, Pre-Foreclosure, and Auction homes as Distressed Listings, and I’m pulling all Single Family Detached Homes in Maricopa County from the Arizona Regional Multiple [...]

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Cash vs Loan by Size of Home

by Chris Butterworth May 19, 2010 Market Analysis & Stats

I built this chart while doing research for today’s Viewpoint e-newsletter, and although I didn’t include it in the newsletter I thought it was interesting and worth sharing. Percentage of Total Sales for each Size Range made up by Cash, Conventional, and FHA financing. (click to embiggen.) * Maricopa County, Single Family Residence, Sales 1/1/10 [...]

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New Distressed Listings by Month – April, 2010

by Chris Butterworth May 10, 2010 Market Analysis & Stats

I’ve said many times and still maintain this chart will show us when things begin to get back to normal.  (When the tidal wave of bank-involved business ebbs and sellers can compete with each other, rather than with the banks.)  Unfortunately, we’re not there yet… Note:  I’m pulling all new distressed listings from the MLS, [...]

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